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The Common Good: Social Welfare and the American Future







that time. Eighty-six percent of the black babies will live with a single mother by age eight, and most will be poor during most of that time. Many will grow up in an urban environment devoid of opportunity and full of danger. If current trends continue, more than of 40 percent of the Hispanic children will experience poverty before age eighteen. Although many will also live in households headed by women, a growing proportion of poor Hispanic children will live in two-parent families.

To summarize, we could look through the nation's nursery windows and separate the fortunate babies born to hope and safety from the unlucky babies—perhaps one in four—born threatened and suffering. The fortunate majority of infants can look forward to a long life span and a good standard of living. They will be well fed and decently housed, see a pediatrician regularly and receive all of the appropriate immunizations, attend good schools, never suffer child abuse or neglect, and be raised in relatively safe neighborhoods. The large number of unlucky babies will experience a childhood lacking in the essential requirements for good health, physical safety, and proper mental and social development. By the time they reach kindergarten, they will already be falling behind through no fault of their own. Anyone looking at the rows of infants in a hospital nursery and consciously advocating policies that deliberately produce such outcomes would rightly be branded a monster. Yet such is the effect of our current policies.

Investing in Infants

It is easy to generate sympathy, if not tax dollars, for infants born burdened and suffering through no fault of their own. A more hard-nosed case for increasing our investments in young children can be made by calculating the long-range benefits from the point of view of pure self-interest. We can pay a little now to try to prevent blighted childhoods or we can pay a lot later for the consequences. In other words, money for decent prenatal care, or more than three times as much to deal with lowbirthweight infants; several thousand dollars for a good preschool program to open the mind of a ghetto three-year-old, or tens of thousands of dollars to cope with a hardened teenage criminal. At the same time, we in today's work force will eventually depend on the abilities and economic productivity of the infants being born today. In 1950 there were seventeen workers to support each older retired person; today there are 3.5 workers, and by the next century there will be only about two workers for each retiree. Finally, wasted childhoods will produce inadequate workers at a time when we can ill afford it, when growing competition in the world