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The Common Good: Social Welfare and the American Future







increased from 41 percent to 90 percent; for Hispanics the current figure is 45 percent. Teenage mothers are half as likely to graduate from high school as are other girls. The children of "child-mothers" generally have lower achievement scores, are more likely to repeat school grades, and are more frequently on welfare than other children.

Though today's labor market is tightening, the economic situation facing young adults as a group is improving because a smaller cohort of young people is entering the market. But because of the increasing skill requirements of jobs in all sectors of the economy, the cost of being poorly prepared for work is much higher than it was a decade or two ago. The problem today is not so much a lack of jobs, but rather a growing mismatch between the skill requirements of jobs and the skills that many young people bring to the labor market.

Experience has shown that skill training is not all that is required to reach many young people who are completely disconnected from our institutions of education and work. Reaching these youths requires finding ways to motivate them to have goals in life and to aspire to success. It also involves helping some of them obtain treatment and overcome problems related to alcohol and drug addiction. We should not underestimate the difficulty of these challenges.

The trends outlined above represent an immense challenge to the American systems of education, training, and social welfare—systems that are grounded in the concepts of work and personal effort. Through gainful employment, Americans expect and are expected by society to be able to make their way in the world and to build the first line of defense against the inevitable hazards of life. To enter adulthood unprepared for the world of work is to see access to opportunities and job-related protections slipping away.

Compound Problems, Intertwined Answers

The trends are ominous. A growing undereducated subgroup of teenagers will soon become a growing and underprepared work force.

Demographic trends indicate that the youth cohort—sixteen- to twenty-four-year-olds—is diminishing in size. By 1995 there will be fewer Americans in this age group than there were in 1979. At the same time, the pace of technological change and growing international economic competition demand that this smaller work force also be more educated, skilled, and productive.

The evidence indicates that this challenge will confront a work force containing a higher proportion of young adults from disadvantaged backgrounds. Given differences