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Competition in the U.S. Energy Industry







has announced plans to construct a new refinery of 100,000 b/d capacity and has proposed an arrangement with Iran. In effect a joint venture is proposed; Iran, in return for providing crude oil, would receive a share of Ashland's downstream operation. If accomplished, Iran's self-interest would lie in continuing a supply of crude to Ashland. The proposal is still being negotiated and given the range of investment opportunities available to countries such as Iran, there is no assurance that the deal will materialize.

Events in the domestic refining market have taken a strange twist. Initially, import quotas created disincentives for domestic refining investment, but the substitution of a fee system reversed this situation and resulted in plans to expand domestic capacity. Finally, expansion plans appear to be jeopardized, to a substantial degree, by the volatile crude oil supply situation in the Middle East.

Footnotes
Footnote :

b Estimated.

Footnote :

a Incorporated by Fuels Desulfurization Inc.

Footnote :

a Reactivation.

Footnote :

b Phased expansion.

COAL

The structure of domestic coal production has, in recent years, been characterized by rising levels of seller concentration and the acquisition of several large coal producers by oil and mining companies. Hence, it is not surprising that critics have expressed concern as to the effectiveness of present and future levels of competition in coal production. The following section evaluates the conduct of the coal industry in terms of pricing patterns, output policies, and the relationship between price and output policies. The output policies of acquired coal companies is analyzed and compared to those companies which were not acquired. Finally, the evidence offered by critics to support their charge of a conspiracy among coal producers is critically evaluated.

Output Behaviorg

The output record during the period 1966-1972 for major coal producers involved in merger activity is summarized in Tables 3-10 and 3-11. As indicated in Table 3-10, by 1968, four coal-oil mergers had occurred: Consolidation-Continental Oil, Island Creek-Occidental Petroleum, Old Ben-Standard Oil of Ohio, and Pittsburgh and Midway-Gulf Oil. In 1968, the four coal-oil companies produced 104.9 million tons of coal and by 1972 production stood at 106.4 million tons. Their share of total coal output declined slightly from 19.2 percent in 1968 to 17.9 percent in 1972. Their share of the total output attributable from the fifty largest coal companies also declined from 28 percent to 26.6 percent.

The output behavior of individual firms presents a mixed picture and