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Competition in the U.S. Energy Industry
necessary capability. An analysis of price and output patterns
in crude oil indicates that prorationing, during periods of excess
capacity, has been used as a means to support crude oil prices or,
in other words, to prevent the price mechanism from carrying out
its allocative function. The result has been an inefficient use of
scarce resources in crude oil production in the U.S. The domestic
crude oil market was further protected from the forces of
competition as a result of the oil import quota program. Such
restrictions were designed to protect the higher U.S. price in
order to ensure a "strong" domestic oil industry. One effect of
this intervention has been to create a shortage of domestic
refining capacity. Other factors, such as the foreign tax credit,
have caused investment in oil development to flow overseas.
Government
intervention with anticompetitive consequences has characterized
domestic crude oil markets. Price and output behavior indicates a
noncompetitive pattern and is the result of policies such as demand
prorationing.
Critics
have been quick to assert that oil entry into coal represents an
attempt to monopolize and that rising coal prices during 1969-1971
are the result of an oil company conspiracy to restrict output. A
review of price and output patterns of coal firms fails to support
such an assertion. No substantive evidence exists to indicate that
oil-coal companies have restricted output in order to elevate
price. The sharp price increase during the period 1969-1971 appears
to be not due to oil company entry, but the result of a marked
increase in wage costs and a sharp decline in productivity level.
The tight coal supply situation of 1969-1971, often taken to be
evidence of a conspiracy, appears to be due to a sudden rise in
utility demand, an unfavorable climate for investment in new coal
capacity in earlier years, and a sudden growth of coal exports.
Thus, differences in conduct between the period 1969-1971 and
earlier periods are real but were caused by differences in economic
forces between the two periods rather than due to any conspiracy to
restrict coal production.