expanded to 94 percent of capacity. The American Petroleum
Institute reported U.S. refineries operating at 95.4 percent of
capacity in the last week of October 1973, according to the API old
definition, and 99 percent of capacity according to the API new
definition.
During 14
years of import quotas restricting the availability of crude oil in
the U.S., some new refinery capacity was shifted abroad from the
U.S. The oil industry has been well aware of impending, then actual
declining domestic supplies of crude oil. Government policy in the
U.S. until 1973 has been to reaffirm the barriers against import of
foreign crudes. While U.S. refinery capacity has increased in the
U.S. year by year, the expansion has been less than what would have
been true in the absence of the quota system.
To compound
the problem of inadequate refinery capacity, American refineries in
general have been constructed to process the so-called "sweet"
crudes (low sulfur content crudes). In general, U.S. crude oil
production has been low in sulphur content compared to most foreign
crudes. With the end of the import quota system, free importation
became the rule. However, Persian Gulf crudes are
characteristically "sour" crudes (high in sulfur content) and it
was the Persian Gulf area that was undergoing a rapid expansion of
crude oil production. However, the "sour" crudes tend to corrode
equipment in refineries constructed to handle "sweet" crudes only.
Therefore, American refineries were somewhat constrained in their
ability to import and refine foreign crudes even after the import
quota system was eliminated.
The
environmental concern contributed to the refinery capacity problem
in the U.S. New refinery construction, as well as major plant
expansions in existing refineries, required environmental clearance
and a consequent delay. Without questioning the legitimacy of the
environmental concern, it seems obvious that new environmental
requirements have contributed to the refinery capacity problem.
The
refinery bottleneck is explainable in terms of the factors listed
above. Again, we need not resort to a conspiracy theory to explain
the problem.
In
conclusion, the shortages and rapid rise of energy prices are not
attributable to a successful monopolization and conspiracy by U.S.
oil companies. Much of the shortages, the rapid rise in prices, and
the very high profits in 1973 and 1974 find their roots in past and
present policies which promoted low energy prices and accelerated
the rate at which domestic energy supplies are depleted. In
addition, the actions of the Arab countries, while outside of the
direct control of U.S. policy, had a dramatic effect on the
domestic market.