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Competition in the U.S. Energy Industry







The survivor technique compares the size of plants or companies in one period with the size in some subsequent period. Those sizes that grew over the period relative to the industry are clearly efficient according to the dictates of the market place. This approach has the virtue as well as the drawback of including all the factors that affect survival. In other words it takes into account not only existing technology but the legal structure and government policies. It can be particularly misleading in some cases where government policies have a significant impact on the profitability of different size plants. For example, the oil import program allocated valuable import tickets to refiners in a way that aided the smallest refineries. Thus the true cost advantage or disadvantage of such refineries has been masked by this additional source of profit.

While there are significant differences between the engineering approach and the survivor technique, in actual practice they have given very similar results for particular industries. This chapter will report on studies using all techniques. Most such studies are weakest in their identification of economies of multiplant firms. No studies have been made of possible gains from the integration of firms operating in several industries such as coal and oil.

Footnotes

Footnote :

* Professor of Economics, Michigan State University.

COAL MINING

The concept of economies of scale in mining is unclear. Each coal mine is a unique resource which may need or call for different scales of output. Thus mines with thick seams and plentiful coal may call for larger operations than those mines with smaller seams. Deeper seams call for more capital per unit output, ceteris paribus, than shallower. On the other hand, if the seams are close enough to the surface, strip mining, which is more capital intensive, is called for. Even here the natural resource base may be the basic determinant of the optimum size.

Because the mine is the natural unit in coal mining, little attention has been paid to the concept of economies of scale. One study [Moyer, p. 105-106] examined the relationship of output per man-day by size of mine. On the basis of statistics for Illinois mines in 1959, Moyer found that underground mines smaller than 50,000 tons per year had a significantly lower output per man-day than larger mines. For strip mines, he found that the larger the mines the greater the productivity per mine. This data, however, does not prove that there are significant economies of scale in coal mining. Larger mines may have higher labor productivity because they use more capital, yet their costs may not be significantly lower than smaller operations. Larger mines tend to be more heavily unionized with the result that wages are higher, thus leading firms to increase the proportion of capital to labor. Moyer did find that larger mines, both strip and underground, tended to have better resource bases, that is, thicker seams, and larger stripping ratios, than did the smaller operations.

Recent statistics indiciate that productivity continues to be positively