falling 3.3
percent from the 1971 level, but average realization rose another
9.5 percent. Between 1970 and 1972 domestic coal prices increased
an average of $1.35 a ton as production for domestic consumption
fell 1 percent; overseas export prices went up $3.61 a ton while
demand fell 28 percent!
A measure
of the profitability flowing from increased export prices is
revealed in the annual statements of Pittston Company, a major coal
exporter. Their profits from coal increased from $9.5 to $23.5
million, 1970 vs. 1969, on almost identical total coal sales
(roughly 20.5 million tons). Pittston's export sales for the
period, however, rose from 6.3 to 11.2 million tons.
Cost
increases doubtless account for part of the sharp run-up in export
prices, especially between 1970 and 1972. Recall that wage cost
increases for the period amounted to 46 percent (see Table D-4).
But domestic coal production was subject to roughly similar cost
pressures and managed smaller price increases under favorable
demand conditions. Since most of the export coal moves under long
term contracts, the sharpness of the price increases is even more
puzzling. Built-in escalation provisions in the contracts should
permit price increases based on increased costs—as they do in
domestic contracts—but they would not account for increases
of the magnitude indicated in Table D-4.
It might be
illuminating to know the initial prices on new export contracts
each year to determine the effect of these prices on average
realization. It is conceivable that the average for all export
shipments is made up of a combination of existing contracts whose
prices increase in response to cost increases and new contracts
whose prices exceed those covered by older, existing contracts.
Unfortunately, the data to make this kind of analysis is
unavailable.
A
significant aspect of the export market situation is the
concentration of sellers in a few hands. Twelve companies which are
members of the Coal Exporters Association of the United States,
Inc., affiliated with the National Coal Association, account for
75-80 percent of U.S. coal exports. Two nonmembers, A.T. Massey
Coal Company, and Island Creek Coal Company handle a large share of
the remaining tonnage. Most of the export companies primarily
handle sales of their parent producer companies' output, but they
also act as brokers for other producers. Any deeper investigation
of export coal pricing behavior might investigate the effect of the
market structure and the impact, if any, of an industry association
binding together most of the leading exporters.
POLICY
ALTERNATIVES
In
reviewing policy alternatives it might be useful to break the
discussion into two parts: a review of policies that might be
adopted to correct or reform existing situations, and a discussion
of possible policy prescriptions designed to limit future
activities that might reduce effective competition.