when the man in the street remains unaware of the nature and
scope of the risk to which he will be exposed. Nor can general
public consent be inferred from broad legislative delegations of
relevant authority to the AEC and the Joint Committee on Atomic
Energy of the Congress, when public hearings on this specific
nuclear risk have never been held, and when most members of
Congress remain as uninformed in this respect as the people that
elected them.
Finally, the
problem of nuclear theft exists wherever nuclear power industries
exist. A successful nuclear theft in one country may result in
widespread destruction in another, far distant country a few weeks
or several years later. Attitudes toward levels of risk and
effectiveness of nuclear safeguards can be expected to cover at
least as wide a range between countries as between groups within
one country, such as the United States.
Given the
difficulties discussed above, it seems that all attempts to develop
a meaningful statement of overall goals for a nuclear safeguards
system may well end in frustration. However, our discussion thus
far does lead us to conclude as follows: In view of the seriousness
of the risks arising out of a successful nuclear theft, the
safeguards system applicable to the nuclear power industry should
employ the best available technology and institutional
mechanisms. The safeguards system should be developed and
implemented with a view to keeping the risks of nuclear theft as
low as practicable. We believe these statements can serve as a
useful guide to the development and implementation of a nuclear
safeguards system that will function effectively in a dynamic world
in which technological, economic, social, and political factors are
changing rapidly.
FUNCTIONS OF A NUCLEAR SAFEGUARDS
SYSTEM
In order to
provide effective assurance against acts of nuclear violence using
material stolen from the nuclear power industry, a nuclear
safeguards system as a whole should perform four interrelated
functions:
"An ounce of
prevention is worth a pound of cure." The relevance of this old saw
to a nuclear safeguards system is apparent from the risk analysis
in Chapter 6. Nevertheless, by far the most effort to date has been
devoted to the development of means to detect unlawful
diversion after it has happened. The detection method that has
received the most attention until very recently has been
accountancy—record keeping, inventory controls, reports, and
independent audits. It should be noted that accountancy, unlike
other possible methods