In developing
a nuclear safeguards system, it is useful to think from a
conceptual framework provided by three basic questions: What may be
controlled? Who may do the controlling? And what are the means of
control? We will discuss the first two questions here. Specific
measures to prevent nuclear diversion, to detect completed nuclear
thefts, to recover stolen nuclear materials, and to respond to
nuclear threats will be explored in Chapter 8.
What May
Be Controlled?
Nuclear
material flows through and between a variety of
facilities, from mines to radioactive waste storage. Special
information is necessary in order to build and operate the
facilities and produce, process, and use the materials flowing
through the nuclear fuel cycles. And of course, nuclear industry
would not happen without people. Thus, material, facilities,
information, and people may be the subjects of control under a
nuclear safeguards system.
Materials. Nuclear safeguards systems are
based primarily on controls over materials which flow through the
various nuclear fuel cycles. Therefore, detailed discussion of this
aspect of safeguards is necessary at this point.
All nuclear
material may be subject to safeguards. Control measures may be
initially applied to every shovelful of ore containing uranium or
thorium that is removed from the ground, or they may even apply to
deposits of uranium and thorium ore in the earth's crust.
Safeguards may extend to nuclear material as it flows throughout
the fuel cycle and continue to apply to material that is recycled
after chemical reprocessing. Measures to ensure against theft may
apply to the fissionable material that is produced in a nuclear
reactor and to each successive generation of fissionable material
as it is produced. Safeguards may even extend to radioactive waste
material that is stored permanently. Such a comprehensive control
scheme is now unrealistic and unworkable. However, the original
proposals for nuclear disarmament proposed by the U.S. government
at the end of World War II—the so-called Baruch
plan—called for just such a comprehensive scheme. At that
time, the government believed such a scheme to be necessary as a
precondition for the destruction of its own stockpile of nuclear
bombs, which was then very small, and as a worldwide regulatory
framework for the development of industrial uses of nuclear
energy.
Alternatively, a variety of exemptions from a
particular safeguards system are possible. Nuclear material may be
exempt when it is present only in small quantities or in certain
forms. Thus, if the total quantity of plutonium or high-enriched
uranium in a country is less than one kilogram, that quantity is
exempt from international safeguards under the NPT. Nuclear
material may also