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Environment and Development »
Nuclear Theft: Risks and Safeguards
Chapter
Ten Conclusions and Recommendations
CONCLUSIONS
Nuclear
Weapons Are Relatively Easy To Make, Assuming the Requisite Nuclear
Materials Are Available.
Fission
explosives can be made with a few kilograms of plutonium,
high-enriched uranium, or uranium–233. Assuming sufficient
material is available for a fast critical mass, the yield of a
fission explosive device will depend on the quality of the
fissionable materials used and, most importantly, on the design.
The design and fabrication of a simple, transportable, fission
explosive is not a technically difficult task.
The most
effective type of radiological weapon appears to be a plutonium
dispersal device. Such a device requires much less plutonium and is
simpler to make than a fission explosive.
The effects
of a nuclear weapon depend on the characteristics of the device and
the target area. The effects of a crude, low-yield fission
explosive can be sufficiently intense and widespread to kill tens
of thousands of people and cause hundreds of millions of dollars of
property damage. A plutonium dispersal device can cause radioactive
contamination and a serious health hazard until costly and
difficult clean-up operations are complete.
The Use
of Nuclear Energy To Generate Electric Power Will Result in Very
Large Flows, in Various Nuclear Fuel Cycles, of Materials that Can
Be Used To Make Nuclear Weapons.
By 1980 tens
of thousands of kilograms of nuclear weapon materials will be
present in the U.S. nuclear power industry (and several thousands
of