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Nuclear Theft: Risks and Safeguards







available in the public record. This need for secrecy makes it doubly important, however, for the AEC to develop specific safeguards standards that can be justified in public hearings, and to develop an approval and inspection process to ensure that established standards are fully implemented.

A System of Safeguards Can Be Developed That Will Keep the Risks of Theft of Nuclear Weapon Materials from the Nuclear Power Industry at Very Low Levels.

Safeguards should emphasize the prevention of theft of any nuclear weapon materials from the nuclear power industry, and the detection of any theft attempt in time to prevent its completion. Detection of a completed theft, recovery of stolen nuclear weapon material, and response to any nuclear threat involving stolen material are important supplementary safeguard functions.

The principle of containment should be used as the basis for the design and development of safeguard measures. The physical barriers and security forces employed to contain nuclear weapon materials in order to prevent theft should be capable of defeating the maximum credible threat that can be reasonably expected anywhere in any nuclear fuel cycle. That threat might involve an attack by a group of perhaps five to ten persons using sophisticated firearms and equipment.

Insofar as practical, instruments and techniques should be developed and used to provide a timely and accurate picture of the material flows in authorized channels in the various nuclear fuel cycles. Furthermore, instruments and techniques should be developed and used to detect immediately the flow of any nuclear weapon materials out of a material access area through an unauthorized channel.

The best available technology and institutional mechanisms should be used in the safeguards system. The technology involved in the nuclear power industry is changing rapidly as a result of intensive research and development efforts. This offers both a challenge and an opportunity with respect to safeguards technology. The challenge is for safeguards technology to keep up with relevant changes in fuel cycle technology, while the opportunity is to take safeguards considerations fully into account initially in developing nuclear power options.

The technological problems related to the development of an effective system of safeguards against nuclear theft can be solved in fairly straightforward ways. Some of the institutional problems, however, appear very difficult and the solutions to many of them are elusive.

RECOMMENDATIONS

In referring to the AEC in the following recommendations, we mean to include any successor agency or commission which might inherit primary governmental