View all Archives -
Environment and Development »
Nuclear Theft: Risks and Safeguards
NUCLEAR POWER GROWTH OUTSIDE THE U.S.
(EXCLUDING COMMUNIST COUNTRIES): 1980–2000
The
industrialized nations of the world are increasing their energy
consumption at a rate equal to or greater than the U.S. To meet the
growing electric energy demand, many of these nations are turning
to nuclear power stations. Commercial nuclear power development is
presently being pursued by more than two dozen nations, with most
of the development being centered in Europe and Japan. The AEC
projects that the installed nuclear power capacity will be 140
thousand megawatts at the end of 1980, 578 thousand megawatts at
the end of 1990, and 1,460 thousand megawatts at the end of the
year 2000 (see Table B–4).
Table B–4. Foreign Forecast of Installed
Nuclear Power Capacity (Thousands of Megawatts) Excluding Communist
Countries
| Year Ending |
LWR |
AGR + HWR |
HTGR |
LMFBR |
Total |
| 1979 |
90 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
115 |
| 1980 |
108 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
140 |
| 1981 |
130 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
| 1982 |
152 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
198 |
| 1983 |
173 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
231 |
| 1984 |
202 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
264 |
| 1985 |
234 |
69 |
0 |
1 |
304 |
| 1986 |
271 |
75 |
2 |
2 |
350 |
| 1987 |
315 |
80 |
7 |
3 |
405 |
| 1988 |
345 |
82 |
15 |
7 |
451 |
| 1989 |
383 |
92 |
23 |
14 |
512 |
| 1990 |
424 |
102 |
31 |
21 |
578 |
| 1991 |
478 |
112 |
40 |
30 |
660 |
| 1992 |
536 |
121 |
49 |
33 |
740 |
| 1993 |
543 |
125 |
66 |
66 |
800 |
| 1994 |
596 |
145 |
61 |
77 |
880 |
| 1995 |
636 |
159 |
68 |
106 |
970 |
| 1996 |
671 |
164 |
75 |
149 |
1,060 |
| 1997 |
703 |
175 |
81 |
190 |
1,150 |
| 1998 |
738 |
191 |
88 |
221 |
1,240 |
| 1999 |
766 |
193 |
93 |
297 |
1,350 |
| 2000 |
803 |
208 |
109 |
337 |
1,457 |
Since this
study is primarily concerned with U.S. safeguards, less attention
has been given to the worldwide nuclear material flow projections
than to the U.S. nuclear material flows. Furthermore, it would not
be possible to treat all foreign nations as a single unit as
implied by the computer model used for the U.S. projections. For
example, in the U.S. projections the number of support facilities
is dependent upon the total megawatts of installed
nuclear