levels can be
stated in terms of the REM, which is related to the Roentgen, a
unit often used for measuring x–ray dosages. A radiation
exposure of about five hundred REM of either gamma rays or neutrons
absorbed over a person's entire body (a so-called "whole body"
dose) would kill half the people so exposed within a few weeks or
less. A radiation dose of about 1,000 REM would kill almost all the
people exposed. The prompt radiation is released so rapidly that
there would not be time for people in the vicinity of the explosion
to take cover in shelters or behind buildings.
Delayed
radiation from the fallout of a nuclear explosion could deliver
lethal doses to people who remain in the open where radioactive
debris has settled long enough for them to receive a total dose of
roughly 500 REM. The ranges of distances indicated in Table
2–1 for radioactive fallout are based on the assumptions that
the wind velocity in the area is about five miles per hour, and
that exposed people remain within the area for one hour, for yields
less than one kiloton, increasing to twelve hours for a yield of
one megaton. These distances are the most uncertain of any shown in
the table, since they depend strongly on the local weather
conditions, the amount and characteristics of the surface material
that would be picked up in an explosion's fireball and later
deposited on the ground, the extent to which people would be able
to take cover or leave the area quickly after an explosion, and
many other factors.
The distances
indicated in Table 2–1 for severe and moderate blast damage
and cratering are considerably more predictable than the distances
for severe damage by radiation. A peak overpressure of ten pounds
per square inch would be likely to cause very severe damage to
almost all residential and office buildings, and moderate damage to
heavily reinforced concrete buildings. Three pounds per square inch
would cause severe damage to wood frame residential buildings.
To summarize,
the human casualties and property damage that could be caused by
nuclear explosions vary widely for different types of explosions
detonated in different places. Nevertheless, it is clear that under
a variety of circumstances, even a nuclear explosion one hundred
times smaller than the one that destroyed Hiroshima could have a
terrible impact on society.
RADIOLOGICAL WEAPONS
Plutonium Dispersal Devices
We have
already stated that plutonium, in the form of extremely small
particles suspended in air, is exceedingly toxic. The total weight
of plutonium–239 which, if inhaled, would be very likely to
cause death by lung cancer is not well known, but is probably
between ten and 100 micrograms (millionths of a gram). Even lower
internal doses, perhaps below one microgram, might cause
significant shortening of a person's life. The total retained dose
of plutonium that would be likely to cause death from fibrosis of
the lung within a