People who
absorb lethal but not massive doses of plutonium would not sense
any of its effects for weeks, or perhaps years. The presence of
finely divided plutonium in an area could be detected only with
sensitive radiation monitoring equipment. Such equipment is now
only used to monitor the presence of plutonium or other dangerously
radioactive materials in nuclear installations. Except in such
installations, therefore, people would not know they were exposed
until they were told, either by those responsible for the threat,
or by someone in authority who happened to detect the plutonium
with instruments.
We are not
aware of any successful non-military attempts to use chemical,
bacteriological, or radiological poisons to contaminate large
areas. Whether any such means will be used in the future for
criminal or terrorist purposes is, we believe, an even more
speculative question than whether nuclear explosives will be so
used. Many types of potentially lethal poisons are no more
difficult to acquire than chemical high explosives. However, high
explosives are being used with greater frequency and in increasing
amounts by terrorists and extortionists, while we have found no
evidence that they have ever used poisonous agents. The practically
instantaneous, quite obvious destruction that is produced by an
explosion apparently better suits the purposes of terrorists and
extortionists than poisons that act more slowly and subtly, but
that are at least as deadly. Unlike other poisons, however,
plutonium can be used either as a poison or as explosive material.
Accordingly, a threat using a plutonium dispersal device could
conceivably be followed by a threat involving plutonium used in a
nuclear explosive.
Other
Types of Radiological Weapons
As part of
our research for this study, we considered, in some detail, the
effects that might be produced by dispersing radioactive materials
other than plutonium, or by purposely pulsing various types of
unshielded nuclear reactors to destruction without achieving a real
nuclear explosion. We conclude that neither type of weapon would be
as effective as a plutonium dispersal device or a low-yield fission
bomb.
Spent nuclear
reactor fuel and the fission products separated from reactor fuels
at a chemical reprocessing plant are, potentially, extremely
hazardous if dispersed in a populated area. But they would also be
very dangerous to handle in sufficient quantities to pose a threat
to a large area because they emit highly penetrating gamma rays,
thus requiring heavy shielding to protect thieves or weapon makers.
In short, plutonium would be easier to use for destructive purposes
than radioactive fission products.
If a nuclear
reactor core were pulsed to destruction, it would release a
comparatively small amount of energy equivalent to, at most, a few
hundred pounds of high explosive from a device weighing several
tons. It would also release amounts of radiation and radioactive
materials that would be very small compared to a low-yield nuclear
explosion unless the reactor had been operated