During Wave
Four the federal government became a front-stage actor in a still
predominantly private housing market. Washington held the keys to a
comprehensive system of mortgage insurance and eagerly-sought-after
subsidies. Both systems were administered through an elaborate
administrative structure, spearheaded after 1965 by a separate
Cabinet department. Wave Four carried into the Nixon and succeeding
administrations, to their manifest discomfort; there were energetic
efforts, only partly successful, to reverse or revise policy. By
the end of the 1970s Wave Four had lost momentum (the 26-million
unit goal falling short by a considerable margin), and not long
thereafter was in full retreat. Production subsidies were largely
replaced by family subsidies and new construction supplanted by
rehabilitation. The appetite for expensive ventures had diminished.
The first eight years of the 1980s were to pass before another
housing authorization law was enacted.
Forces are now
converging to generate a fifth wave, galvanized by the plight of
the new homeless, a phenomenon that has pushed housing up near the
top of the public agenda with an urgency not observed since the
demobilization years right after World War II. The fifth-wave
movement is reinforced by the discontents of a younger generation
of middle-class housing have-nots, who aspire to, but infrequently
obtain, a level of housing consumption equal to that of their
parents, who had done so much better than their parents.
Achievements
Over the
century since housing was accorded merit status, there have been
remarkable achievements and dismaying setbacks. Beginning with the
elementary improvements of Wave One, America gradually attained a
housing standard that has few rivals in the modern world. Japan,
the current economic powerhouse of the planet, is not close to
these levels. As late as 1968 the majority of Japanese dwelling
units were without inside toilets, and even now the majority of
Japan's middle class dare not hope to emulate the
1,500-square-foot, one- or two-bath homes sitting on a quarter or
third of an acre that are so characteristically American.
Today's 240
million Americans arranged in 90 million households are
incalculably better sheltered than were the 63 million people and
13 million households of 1890. The plight of the 1890s—poor
health and squalid environment—is no longer the plight of a
vast majority of Americans but rather that of left-behind segments,
many of them concentrated in rural areas, and others, more visibly,
in the inner cities. Except in scattered pockets,